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Champs 19-20
03-01-2020, 09:59 AM
Post: #31
RE: Champs 19-20
11/01/20 Brentford QPR 3 0
11/01/20 Barnsley Huddersfield 2 1
11/01/20 Blackburn Preston 1 0
11/01/20 Charlton West Brom 0 1
11/01/20 Hull Fulham 1 1
11/01/20 Leeds Sheffield Weds 1 1
11/01/20 Luton Town Birmingham 1 1
11/01/20 Middlesbrough Derby 0 0
11/01/20 Reading Nott'm Forest 0 1
11/01/20 Stoke Millwall 0 0
11/01/20 Wigan Bristol City 0 1
12/01/20 Cardiff Swansea 1 0
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06-01-2020, 03:08 PM
Post: #32
RE: Champs 19-20
I have attached a screenshot of the betfair odds for the up-coming games with my predicted odds in red. This may give an indication of where value may be found.


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12-01-2020, 03:39 PM
Post: #33
RE: Champs 19-20
17/01/20 Fulham Middlesbrough 1 1
18/01/20 QPR Leeds 1 2
18/01/20 Birmingham Cardiff 1 1
18/01/20 Bristol City Barnsley 1 0
18/01/20 Derby Hull 1 1
18/01/20 Huddersfield Brentford 0 1
18/01/20 Millwall Reading 1 0
18/01/20 Preston Charlton 2 1
18/01/20 Sheffield Weds Blackburn 1 1
18/01/20 Swansea Wigan 2 0
19/01/20 Nott'm Forest Luton Town 2 0
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19-01-2020, 03:19 PM
Post: #34
RE: Champs 19-20
20/01/20 West Brom Stoke 3 0
21/01/20 Barnsley Preston 2 1
21/01/20 Middlesbrough Birmingham 0 0
22/01/20 Charlton Fulham 0 1
22/01/20 Nott'm Forest Reading 1 0
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23-01-2020, 08:41 AM
Post: #35
RE: Champs 19-20
25/01/20 Stoke Swansea 0 0
28/01/20 Blackburn QPR 1 0
28/01/20 Brentford Nott'm Forest 2 1
28/01/20 Cardiff West Brom 1 1
28/01/20 Hull Huddersfield 1 0
28/01/20 Leeds Millwall 1 0
28/01/20 Luton Town Derby 1 1
28/01/20 Wigan Sheffield Weds 0 1
28/01/20 Reading Bristol City 1 1
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26-01-2020, 12:02 PM
Post: #36
RE: Champs 19-20
After a revue of the prediction model I can now give a more accurate result for the 19-20 season so far (the old model gave the same predictions but there was an error in the results calculation).

----Total correct %correct Decimal Odds
Home 149 88 59.1% 1.69
Away 96 29 30.2% 3.31
Draw 91 24 26.4% 3.79

<2.5 goals 265 146 55.1% 1.82
>2.5 goals 71 50 70.4% 1.42

Correct Score 12.8% 7.81
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